Table of contents
- 1. Intro to Stats and Collecting Data55m
- 2. Describing Data with Tables and Graphs1h 55m
- 3. Describing Data Numerically1h 45m
- 4. Probability2h 16m
- 5. Binomial Distribution & Discrete Random Variables2h 33m
- 6. Normal Distribution and Continuous Random Variables1h 38m
- 7. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Mean1h 3m
- 8. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Proportion1h 12m
- 9. Hypothesis Testing for One Sample1h 1m
- 10. Hypothesis Testing for Two Samples2h 8m
- 11. Correlation48m
- 12. Regression1h 4m
- 13. Chi-Square Tests & Goodness of Fit1h 20m
- 14. ANOVA1h 0m
4. Probability
Complements
Problem 3.1.21
Textbook Question
Finding the Probability of an Event In Exercises 21-24, the probability that an event will not happen is given. Find the probability that the event will happen.
21. P(E') =0.95

1
Step 1: Understand the problem. The probability of an event not happening, denoted as P(E'), is given as 0.95. You are tasked with finding the probability of the event happening, denoted as P(E).
Step 2: Recall the relationship between the probability of an event happening and not happening. The sum of these probabilities must equal 1, as they are complementary events. Mathematically, this is expressed as: .
Step 3: Rearrange the formula to solve for P(E). Subtract P(E') from both sides: .
Step 4: Substitute the given value of P(E') into the formula. In this case, P(E') = 0.95, so the equation becomes: .
Step 5: Perform the subtraction to find the probability of the event happening. This will give you the value of P(E).

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Key Concepts
Here are the essential concepts you must grasp in order to answer the question correctly.
Complementary Events
In probability theory, complementary events are two outcomes of a single event that cannot occur at the same time. If an event E occurs, its complement E' (not E) represents all outcomes where E does not happen. The sum of the probabilities of an event and its complement is always equal to 1, which is a fundamental principle in probability.
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Probability Calculation
Probability is a measure of the likelihood that an event will occur, expressed as a number between 0 and 1. To find the probability of an event happening, you can subtract the probability of the event not happening from 1. For example, if P(E') = 0.95, then P(E) = 1 - P(E') = 0.05, indicating a low likelihood of the event occurring.
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Basic Probability Rules
Basic probability rules include the addition and multiplication rules, which help in calculating the probabilities of combined events. The addition rule states that the probability of either of two mutually exclusive events occurring is the sum of their individual probabilities. Understanding these rules is essential for solving more complex probability problems and for interpreting results correctly.
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